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◇ Alliance Incentive · Global Scorecard

Global Scope: International Governance Scorecard

The same eight-domain framework applied to every country the United States has substantive relations with. Scores drive treaty preferences, sovereign fund withholding, and trade alignment — proposed terms to be negotiated with the allied bloc. Immigration is NOT among them: the Employer Parity Surcharge is origin-neutral.

The Alliance Incentive proposes replacing ad-hoc tariffs with a single rule: tariff rate scales with governance quality — a deliberate, negotiated departure from the most-favored-nation status quo, brought to the allied bloc as terms, not imposed as a unilateral compliance claim. Every nation the US has substantive trade or diplomatic relations with is scored across six independently-weighted domains — governance, environmental externalities, labor standards, defense contribution, trade openness, and human rights — by a panel of 7–9 international judges using the Olympic method (drop high and low; average the rest). The composite places the nation in one of four tiers, and the tier sets the base tariff (10% / 30% / 60% / 100–120%). The architecture rewards the direction of travel: a nation that improves its score climbs a tier; a nation that erodes descends. The same governance score also informs supply-chain procurement preference and defense co-production siting. (The Employer Parity Surcharge is origin-neutral — the index plays no role in the surcharge rate.)

What you'll see below: the convergence map (where each nation sits today and where 2040 projections place it), the per-domain breakdown, and the tier-by-tier policy implications. Read the dots first, then drill into the table.

Convergence

Governance Alignment Map

Each dot is a nation. Size reflects immigration population in the US. Color reflects governance tier.

Fully AlignedPartially AlignedNeutralPartially UnalignedUnalignedUnited States
Policy Map

How Scores Drive Policy

Five tiers, each with automatic consequences across trade, defense, immigration, and investment.

Fully Aligned≥70

Full treaty access, 10–15% withholding, defense co-production, intelligence sharing, and mutual recognition.

Partially Aligned50–69

Standard treaty terms, 30% withholding, trade benefits proportional to composite score. Co-production on non-sensitive systems.

Neutral40–49

Standard terms, limited co-production eligibility. Most-favored-nation baseline. Neutral withholding schedule.

Partially Unaligned30–39

Enhanced CFIUS/OFAC review. Surcharges on specific product categories. Export controls on dual-use technology. Reduced investment access.

Unaligned<30

Maximum reciprocal tariffs. Comprehensive export controls. No co-production or intelligence sharing. Alliance-coordinated economic boundaries.

Scores are recalculated annually. Any nation that improves measurably receives automatic tariff relief and co-production access via the Ratchet mechanism. Deterioration triggers proportional consequences without congressional action.

Directory

Nation Scorecard Table

95 nations scored across six domains. Click any row to expand.

Column KeyImm. (K) Annual immigration to US, thousandsGov GovernanceEnv EnvironmentLabor Labor conditionsDef Defense cooperationTrade Trade relationshipHR Human Rights
Country Region Score ▼Category Imm. (K) Gov Env Labor Def Trade HR
▶United KingdomEurope85Fully Aligned700967276878692
▶FinlandEurope84Fully Aligned15937986688194
▶SwedenEurope83Fully Aligned50908388627993
▶NorwayEurope83Fully Aligned25918189608094
▶DenmarkEurope83Fully Aligned20928288588395
▶NetherlandsEurope81Fully Aligned70897684628392
▶New ZealandAsia-Pacific78Fully Aligned30916980528093
▶CanadaN. America77Fully Aligned800837078628088
▶SwitzerlandEurope76Fully Aligned60887680408290
▶GermanyEurope74Fully Aligned300767885517184
▶AustraliaAsia-Pacific73Fully Aligned80804274787885
▶FranceEurope73Fully Aligned200747276686880
▶JapanAsia-Pacific71Fully Aligned400805870786378
▶PortugalEurope70Fully Aligned150786872487282
▶SpainEurope69Partially Aligned100726874507080
▶TaiwanAsia-Pacific69Partially Aligned500745865707272
▶South KoreaAsia-Pacific68Partially Aligned1,000745262806376
▶IrelandEurope68Partially Aligned130845676307688
▶IsraelMiddle East67Partially Aligned150646068827056
▶SingaporeAsia-Pacific67Partially Aligned80726858648454
▶Czech RepublicEurope66Partially Aligned20706068556874
▶PolandEurope65Partially Aligned400625468726470
▶ItalyEurope65Partially Aligned200666470486578
▶Costa RicaC. America64Partially Aligned80767368226280
▶GreeceEurope62Partially Aligned150626068456272
▶UruguayS. America61Partially Aligned30726065306278
▶ChileS. America61Partially Aligned120725860386472
▶RomaniaEurope59Partially Aligned150585662506068
▶HungaryEurope58Partially Aligned20545666526260
▶UkraineE. Europe54Partially Aligned350525055624855
▶PhilippinesAsia-Pacific50Partially Aligned2,000554052455058
▶ArgentinaS. America48Neutral200544852304660
▶PanamaC. America48Neutral100554850225260
▶BrazilS. America47Neutral500584048305058
▶Trinidad & TobagoCaribbean47Neutral250584052225062
▶South AfricaS. Africa47Neutral80563850265060
▶TurkeyEurope/Asia47Neutral100404252604840
▶MalaysiaAsia-Pacific47Neutral50524548326042
▶JamaicaCaribbean46Neutral700554250224860
▶MexicoN. America45Neutral11,200564239225258
▶ColombiaS. America45Neutral800474248305052
▶MoroccoN. Africa45Neutral100504242404648
▶EcuadorS. America44Neutral700504448244652
▶PeruS. America44Neutral500524046264852
▶IndonesiaS.E. Asia43Neutral100523440384452
▶GuyanaS. America42Neutral250504248184252
▶GhanaW. Africa42Neutral150543644224256
▶IndiaS. Asia41Neutral2,700592929523342
▶Dominican RepublicCaribbean41Neutral1,200484042224452
▶KenyaE. Africa41Neutral120483842284250
▶ThailandS.E. Asia41Neutral300384038424840
▶JordanMiddle East41Neutral80423844424040
▶TunisiaN. Africa40Neutral100424042324244
▶Sri LankaS. Asia39Partially Unaligned60423842224048
▶NepalS. Asia38Partially Unaligned100453640223648
▶BoliviaS. America38Partially Unaligned100444240183848
▶VietnamAsia-Pacific38Partially Unaligned1,400383838384532
▶SenegalW. Africa35Partially Unaligned50423238183644
▶NigeriaW. Africa33Partially Unaligned400362832283042
▶El SalvadorC. America32Partially Unaligned1,400302830323238
▶EgyptN. Africa32Partially Unaligned200283230383628
▶UzbekistanC. Asia31Partially Unaligned100353032283030
▶PakistanS. Asia31Partially Unaligned500283032352830
▶CambodiaS.E. Asia31Partially Unaligned300303228303628
▶KazakhstanC. Asia31Partially Unaligned40352832283030
▶BangladeshS. Asia30Partially Unaligned200322830223436
▶EthiopiaE. Africa30Partially Unaligned250303032282832
▶Saudi ArabiaMiddle East30Partially Unaligned60252832303825
▶CameroonW. Africa28Unaligned100322830202832
▶IranMiddle East27Unaligned400223228422218
▶LebanonMiddle East27Unaligned150282830182830
▶GuatemalaC. America26Unaligned900252228183032
▶LaosS.E. Asia26Unaligned200253028202822
▶HondurasC. America25Unaligned700222425202830
▶LiberiaW. Africa24Unaligned80302226142230
▶MozambiqueS. Africa24Unaligned20282424122430
▶CubaCaribbean23Unaligned1,400183228221820
▶IraqMiddle East21Unaligned200222220202220
▶VenezuelaS. America20Unaligned300182220202018
▶Myanmar/BurmaS.E. Asia20Unaligned200182820222410
▶HaitiCaribbean19Unaligned700201818122028
▶NicaraguaC. America19Unaligned400152218202218
▶ZimbabweS. Africa19Unaligned80222020141822
▶MaliW. Africa17Unaligned30182016101620
▶RussiaE. Europe15Unaligned4001024228158
▶DR CongoC. Africa15Unaligned4012251281218
▶Burkina FasoW. Africa15Unaligned2016181481418
▶ChinaAsia-Pacific14Unaligned2,9001225205158
▶AfghanistanS. Asia13Unaligned100121814101214
▶SudanE. Africa12Unaligned5010181281012
▶SomaliaE. Africa10Unaligned150815108812
▶EritreaE. Africa10Unaligned50814108810
▶SyriaMiddle East9Unaligned150810128108
▶YemenMiddle East9Unaligned50812108108
▶South SudanE. Africa9Unaligned2581586810